have you seen the polls? Trump is doing awful.
The right is really at it's lowest point since the 60s. Americans are moving further left, and the BLM protests have only contributed to that. You people just assume "muh riots will move people to the right", but it's clear that the exact opposite is happening.
Right now, this is how the election stands, unless something changes.
People say, "oh, Biden is senile and has no enthusiasm", but the truth is, this election isn't about "Trump vs Biden", it's "Trump: yes or no". The democrats could nominate a cow and it wouldn't make a difference. Normally Biden would lose against any other candidate, but Trump just keeps self destructing. He is destroying himself.